Dixie Battleground For Swine Flu

by Admin on September 24, 2009

For health care professionals in the South, the war on influenza has come early this year and already “MASH-like” measures are being taken to combat the virus.  Hospitals are increasing overtime hours, setting up tents to deal with the overflow of cases, and scrambling to stay ahead of the rapidly spreading outbreak.

Lots of media accounts on this story, but the best recap we’ve seen comes from ABC News, reprinted below:

Swine Flu Hot Spots

Southern U.S. First to Battle Deadly Flu

By JOSEPH BROWNSTEIN
ABC News Medical Unit

Sept. 24, 2009—

As the nation braces for flu season and a potential outbreak of swine flu, the South already appears to be dealing with a wave of H1N1 cases, setting up tents to deal with hundreds of possibly infected children each day.

The hospitals in the southeastern United States have been dealing with a high volume of likely swine flu cases several months before seasonal flu typically hits, and some fear the strain may be moving north — and everywhere else.

Track outbreaks of the H1N1 virus across the country at the CDC’s FluView Website

“It’s spreading everywhere,” said Dr. James C. Turner, executive director of the department of student health at the University of Virginia and president of the American College Health Association (ACHA). “It’s a typical flu season, but the thing that’s so bizarre is it started in late August.”

In the most recent report from the ACHA, Turner noted that cases among college students in the South appeared to be decreasing. However, “there have been significant increases in disease activity in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and Rocky Mountain regions of the country.”

While Turner said his campus sees 15 to 20 new patients a day with likely swine flu, some other areas of the South are being hit harder.

“Three-hundred-fifty [kids] a day are coming in, and about half of those have flu-like symptoms,” said Sara Burnett, a spokeswoman for Le Bonheur Children’s Medical Center in Memphis. “We put up a tent two weeks ago to help screen those kids.”

Dr. Keith English, director of infectious disease at Le Bonheur, said that the hospital’s emergency department is seeing roughly double the number of patients it would at this time in a typical year.

English said roughly half of the patients presenting at the hospital showed symptoms of influenza, with about 57 percent of the patients who were tested having swine flu.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends that hospitals not take samples to determine definite swine flu, so cases are classified as likely swine flu by observing the patient and making the determination in the clinic.

Le Bonheur is not the only hospital to set up triage tents for possible swine flu patients.

At Dell Children’s Medical Center in Austin, Texas, tents also have been set up to deal with a daily flow of patients that has more than doubled past 330 when compared to typical totals — around 160 during this time of year.

Similar problems are happening elsewhere in Austin.

“We are overflowing with patients — none of whom are very ill — thank goodness,” said Dr. Ari Brown, a local pediatrician, in an e-mail to ABC News. “I saw one young man with flu who was the 17th player of his varsity football team to have [swine flu] — [it's] spreading like wildfire.”

And officials at Vanderbilt University Medical Center in Nashville told “World News” they have seen more than 5,000 patients with flu-like symptoms so far this month. Its children’s emergency department has increased its staffing by 50 percent.

Theories for the Spreading Pattern

While it is difficult to be certain about why the swine flu has spread in the fashion it has, physicians did have some possible explanations.

“We think that these regions are seeing later activity because schools don’t start until later,” said Turner of the less-affected regions of the country.

He said many cases probably are a result of students either catching swine flu in their communities or places they traveled during the summer, then bringing the virus with them to campus.

For different reasons, other regions have been less affected.

Dr. Christian Sandrock, an assistant professor of pulmonary and critical care medicine at the University of California, Davis, works in a region that has seen perhaps the fewest cases this season.

“We haven’t really seen it hit the emergency departments and clinics in hospitals yet,” he said. “We definitely weren’t untouched in June and July.”

Weather, he said, may account for the difference.

“We tend to have less humid, much dryer air,” he said. That often accounts for less respiratory illness.

He also noted the heavy rains that have led to flooding in some areas of the South, which also brought more people from the outdoors, and California has had relatively nice weather.

Sandrock said California tends to see later ends to summer weather, and therefore, later starts to flu season.

“It might be we’re just going to catch up a week or two later than the rest of the country,” he said. “I don’t want to catch up, but we might.”

School’s In

Catching up may be what the South is doing now.

“Back in May, we were at a much smaller problem with H1N1 than most of the United States, and it’s not because we weren’t looking,” said English.

Schools closing earlier may have had something to do with that, although English said schools being in session probably would not account for all of the differences in flu rates.

“We’re accustomed to the same sort of thing happening every year in the winter,” he said, noting that rates rise until the Christmas holiday, then drop off, rising when schools return in January.

Of the current spike, English said, “We all knew that might happen when schools started back this fall.”

Course of Infections Unclear

While swine flu has been widespread in several areas, doctors noted that most cases can be dealt with without hospitalization.

“Most of those children are not severely ill, and [are] not admitted to the hospital,” said English of the patients who have come to Le Bonheur.

He said that 100 children have been admitted to the hospital for swine flu, with about 15 needing to go to the intensive care unit.

Turner added that the disease has been mild among college students, despite the number of infections it has caused.

Turner said he expects that swine flu cases will drop, and that public health officials should take advantage of the opportunity that will provide.

The disease has caused 21,000 infections in college students nationwide, he said, but only 37 hospitalizations and no deaths thus far.

“I think as we’ve got into it, more people are comfortable with the fact it’s a mild disease,” said Turner. However, he warned, complacency may present a problem.

“This is technically the second wave,” he said, the first coming last spring.

“For this wave, I would imagine that college campuses will have new cases appearing for anywhere from four to six weeks,” he added. “By November, we’ll probably be through this wave, which will give us the opportunity to get students vaccinated for H1N1.”

And that will be important to prevent spread of the illness.

“It hasn’t spread to the community yet where the most vulnerable people may be,” said Turner. “I suspect that we will see it go out in the community, into teenagers and to schoolchildren.”

And while only a minority of children with swine flu need hospitalization, parents should remain vigilant, said English.

“We’ve seen otherwise healthy children develop complications of the flu,” he said, because of secondary infections.

“While it is true that most patients are not having severe complications, some of them are,” said English. “We just don’t know yet [what] the total number of patients with life-threatening disease will be.”

——–

For more information on the web: CDC H1N1 Map

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New Bill Aims to Protect A Valuable EM Resource

One of the most valuable resources to the emergency management community are amateur radio operators. “Hams” provide a valuable backup communications option that is largely independent of other infrastructure such as commercial electricity, telephone, and Internet connectivity.

History has shown that just when we think amateur radio has become an unnecessary relic of an earlier era, natural or man made disasters demonstrate how fragile our communications networks really are.

But hams face increasing opposition from both private deed restrictions, and municipals codes that restrict their ability to erect the antennas necessary for their operation. While these may be seen as legitimate efforts to beautify a neighborhood, they do so at the expense of our shared security.

There is currently a bill in the House that seeks to provide some reasonable protection for these volunteers. HR 2160-The Amateur Radio Emergency Communications enhancement Act of 2009 is gaining some momentum, with three more cosponsors lending their support:
Congressmen — Geoff Davis (R-KY-4), Bill Posey (R-FL-15) and Michael
Turner (R-OH-3) — pledged their support for HR 2160
<http://www.thomas.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c111:H.R.2160:>,  bringing the
total number of cosponsors to 24, including original sponsor Sheila
Jackson-Lee (D-TX-18)
<http://www.arrl.org/news/stories/2009/04/30/10792/?nc=1>.

HR 2160 is also sponsored by W. Todd Akin (R-MO-2), Michael Arcuri (D-NY-24), Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD-6), John Boozman (R-AR-3), Madeleine Bordallo (D-Guam), Bob Filner (D-CA-51), Bart Gordon (D-TN-6), Brett Guthrie (R-KY-02), Maurice Hinchey (D-NY-22), Michael Honda (D-CA-15), Mary Jo Kilroy (D-OH-15), Zoe Lofgren (D-CA-16), Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-MO-9), Thaddeus McCotter (R-MI-11), Charlie Melancon (D-LA-3), Dennis Moore (D-KS-3), Bennie Thompson (D-MS-2), Peter Welch (D-VT), David Wu
(D-OR-1) and Don Young (R-AK).

Nothing would enhance the chance of this bill’s passage than the vocal support of professional Emergency Managers and organizations like the IAEM, NEMA, APCO, and others. We urge these groups and concerned individuals to “give back” to these dedicated volunteers by lending to your voice in support of this legislation.

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FCC To Better Coordinate With DHS/FEMA

FCC To Better Coordinate With DHS/FEMA

From Federal Computer Week:

FCC buying emergency notification system

Agency stepping up emergency communications activities

The Federal Communications Commission is expanding its involvement in maintaining emergency communications during disasters, the agency’s chairman announced today.

For example, the commission is buying a computer-based rapid notification system that will enable outreach to public safety officials during major incidents, according to a news release. It also is coordinating its disaster communication improvement efforts with the Federal Emergency Management Agency and with the Health and Human Services Department, the release said.

The purchase and increased coordination are two of the several steps outlined by FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski in a 41-page report released today titled “FCC’s Preparedness for a Major Public Emergency.” The report was prepared by the FCC’s Public Safety and Homeland Security Bureau in response to the chairman’s 30-day readiness review started in June.

“The FCC has an important role to play in ensuring that our nation’s communications infrastructure serves our public safety needs,” Genachowski said. “The Public Safety Bureau’s thorough review concluded that the agency is ready to respond to emergencies, but there is more work to do to maximize the agency’s readiness.”

Other steps taken by the FCC outlined in today’s report include:

  • Updates and improvements to the FCC’s continuity-of-operations and pandemic flu plans.
  • Updates and revisions to all emergency standard operating procedures for the FCC’s 24/7 operations center.
  • Improvements to the FCC’s emergency communications Web site, including alert information and situational updates.
  • Establishing a cybersecurity working group that is charged with assessing the FCC’s responsibilities, needs, and assets in the cybersecurity field.
  • Starting a project to use spectrum analysis equipment to enable field operations staff to rapidly determine which public safety communications systems require assistance during emergencies.
  • Establishing the FCC’s Communications Security, Reliability and Interoperability Council, an advisory council.
  • Starting an information technology-based emergency response training on emergency incident management software systems.
  • Working with federal partners to identify improvements to the national emergency alert system.

Meanwhile, FEMA also has responsibilities in these areas, but the agencies do not always coordinate their activities and risk, creating gaps in service, according to a recent report from the Government Accountability Office.

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Flu Vaccine Delayed; ICU Crisis Looms

by Admin on August 26, 2009

White House Report Lays out Hard Numbers for the Flu Impact

White House Report Lays out Hard Numbers for the Flu Impact

In the most strongly worded statements to date, the administration is putting the public health system, and the American people on notice about this Fall’s flu impacts.

The most complete media recap that we’ve seen of the 86 Page report was written for the Washington Post, and is included in this posting. We are strongly advising our clients to review the entire document which can be found on the White House web site.

Some key points from the report bear noting:

The 30,000 to 90,000 deaths expected from the Swine Flu H1N1 virus are in addition to the annual 30,000 or so people who perish from the so-called “seasonal flu”. This means that flu deaths in the US could easily top 100,000 this year.

The strain on our health care system, particularly on ICU resources is perhaps the most alarming news from this report. Imagine a mass casualty incident in your community this Fall or Winter, where victims arrive at hospitals requiring critical care, only to find no beds available.

To help mitigate the situation, there are concrete steps that emergency managers and public service agencies can begin doing immediately:

  • Incorporate key points from this report into your public communications. Encourage common sense prevention steps such as staying home from work or school if ill, frequent hand-washing, etc.
  • Closely monitor the flu in your area. Emergency Managers and public service chiefs should consider getting daily updates from hospitals in their community on the number of beds available, especially those in ICU wards.
  • Review overflow procedures for your area hospitals, be sure to monitor secondary hospital case loads as well. Look for “choke points” in the system and have plans to work around them.
  • Work closely with your school systems, and begin the educational process now for parents. It looks like the Swine Flu H1N1 vaccine will require two injections because there is virtually no immunity to the virus at this point. That could mean a total of three flu vaccinations for some citizens this Fall. Convincing parents of the need for the vaccinations will be a tough sell. Start early. Handouts should go out the first day of school, followed by “town hall” type meetings, etc.

Swine Flu Could Infect Half of U.S.
Presidential Panel’s Estimate Is First To Gauge Possible Impact of Pandemic

By Rob Stein
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Swine flu could infect half the U.S. population this fall and winter, hospitalizing up to 1.8 million people and causing as many as 90,000 deaths — more than double the number that occur in an average flu season, according to an estimate from a presidential panel released Monday.

The virus could cause symptoms in 60 million to 120 million people, more than half of whom might seek medical attention, the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology estimated in an 86-page report to the White House assessing the government’s response to the first influenza pandemic in 41 years.

Although most of the cases probably would be mild, up to 300,000 people could require intensive care, which could tie up all those beds in some parts of the country at the peak of the outbreak, the council said.

“This is going to be fairly serious,” said Harold E. Varmus of Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York, co-chair of the 21-member council. “It’s going to stress every aspect of our health system.”

The estimates mark the first time experts have released specific calculations about the possible U.S. impact of the pandemic. The “plausible scenario” is based on previous pandemics and how the swine flu behaved in the United States this spring and during the Southern Hemisphere’s winter over the past few months, said Marc Lipsitch of the Harvard School of Public Health, who helped prepare the estimate.

“They are not a prediction, but they are a possibility,” he said in a telephone interview, noting that the estimates are based on various assumptions, including that the virus will not mutate into a more dangerous form or infect more older people.

“If it turned out to affect a lot more adults, the severity would be a lot worse,” Lipsitch said.

While the seasonal flu is associated with 30,000 to 40,000 deaths and 200,000 hospitalizations each year, the lack of immunity to the swine flu virus probably will lead to many more people becoming infected, sick — and possibly to 30,000 to 90,000 deaths, the council said. And while most deaths during a typical flu season occur in the elderly, swine flu is more likely to kill children and young adults, the panel said.

Lipsitch stressed that the outbreak could turn out to be milder, too. The primary purpose of the estimates was to help guide planning to protect the public. For example, it was estimated that the outbreak could peak in mid-October, so the panel urged expediting the availability of a vaccine.

In addition, the panel recommended clarifying how antiviral drugs should be used to fight the pandemic, speeding a decision about whether to approve intravenous antivirals in case they are needed, designating someone at the White House to coordinate the nation’s response to the virus, and improving the system for tracking the spread of the new virus.

Swine flu virus, or H1N1, emerged last spring in Mexico and quickly spread to the United States and around the world. Although far less dangerous than initially feared, the virus has sickened children and young adults more frequently than the typical seasonal flu.

“This isn’t the flu that we’re used to,” said Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius. “The 2009 H1N1 virus will cause a more serious threat this fall. We won’t know until we’re in the middle of the flu season how serious the threat is, but because it’s a new strain, it’s likely to infect more people than usual.”

The pandemic has caused significant disruptions and economic damage in parts of the Southern Hemisphere, and has contributed to the deaths of more than 1,799 people in at least 168 countries, including at least 522 in the United States. A second wave of infection is expected to begin within weeks in the Northern Hemisphere as schools reopen and cooler weather returns.

Overall, the panel praised the federal government’s response, which has included signing contracts to spend nearly $2 billion to buy at least 159 million doses of vaccine from five companies that are rushing to produce it. But the first batch is not expected to be available until mid-October, when the outbreak could peak.

“This potential mismatch in timing could significantly diminish the usefulness of vaccination for mitigating the epidemic and could place many at risk for serious disease,” the report states.

The report recommends that a portion of the vaccine be made available by mid-September for those at highest risk by asking the manufacturers to start filling vials with vaccine even though the studies to determine dosages and whether a booster will be necessary have not been completed.

Administration officials said they are already taking action on the panel’s recommendations. All five companies “have been asked to put their initially available vaccine in vials as soon as they are ready,” for example. “This will move forward, even while awaiting results of clinical studies to confirm expected dosing, to ensure the earliest possible availability of initial doses of vaccine.”

“This report is being read very carefully,” said John O. Brennan, White House deputy national security adviser for counterterrorism.

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Swine Flu Campaign Waits on Vaccine

by Admin on August 24, 2009

Officials Await Vaccine Trial Results and Supply-Photo by Mark Humphrey, Associated Press

Officials Await Vaccine Trial Results and Supply-Photo by Mark Humphrey, Associated Press

The Washington Post’s Rob Stein had a great article in Sunday’s edition of the Post, that encapsulates the nation’s challenge in vaccinating against the H1N1 Swine Flu virus, called “Swine Flu Campaign Waits on the Vaccine”.

Be sure to click that link and read the whole story. It will keep you up to date, and perhaps give you some ideas on your own response plans.

We’re also urging our clients to monitor public health efforts in states like Alabama, Tennessee, and Georgia, whose school calendar begins weeks earlier than the rest of the nation. The return to classes in early August has already triggered a massive up-tick in the number of reported cases, especially in Alabama.

Events in these areas may offer a glimpse into what the rest of the nation can expect a bit as Fall arrives. So far, the virus remains mild, and has not mutated to any great extent since it was observed in the Spring. On the West Coast, some mutations that offer the virus immunity to anti-viral medication has been observed, but that mutation does not appear to be wide-spread at this point.

The bad news is that vaccine production is behind schedule, with at least 1/3 of the projected doses for October likely not to be ready. And it remains to be seen how the public will react to the news that they may require up to three vaccinations to fully protect them from both the seasonal flu, and H1N1 Swine Flu.

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National Guard Drills to Quell Flu Riots

by Admin on August 20, 2009

Not to second guess National Guard Commanders, but you just hate to see stories like this one. Well meaning, but poorly informed managers often place a higher priority on security when preparing for an emergency response than will ever be needed.

For this “scenario” to ever happen, we’d need for lots and lots of things to go wrong this Fall. First of all, Swine Flu H1N1 would have to mutate into a much more lethal form, generating large numbers of deaths. Then we’d have to have a vaccine that was effective but in short supply. Then you’d need for the public to become so frightened that they decided to attack an escorted convoy to try to obtain the vaccine.

Do you see where this is going? Pretty soon, you’re looking at a “Mad Max” view of the world. The public rarely, if ever panics. It did not happen in Katrina, despite some of the early media accounts.

Instead of planning and exercising for these worst case scenarios, how about focusing on the more likely ones? Have those Guardsmen drill on setting up drive thru POD’s, and assisting with traffic control. Considering the limited resources available for drills and exercises, it’s hard to see the wisdom in the decision to hold this drill.

Making it worse is that by doing so, you make the public think that such riots are possible or even likely to happen. This ramps up the fear of the pandemic and does little to help with public communication efforts.

National Guard drill at high school to prepare for possible H1N1 riot

By Leslie H. Dixon, Staff Writer
Published: Aug 13, 2009 1:46 am

PARIS — Oxford Hills Comprehensive High School will be the site of a National Guard riot control drill Thursday morning to prepare in the event of a panic over distribution of serum to treat the swine flu.

The school on Route 26 at the Paris-Norway town line has been designated by state officials as a distribution site for the H1N1 flu vaccine. The drill is to prepare for a worst-case scenario should the serum have to be transported from Augusta and people rush to get it.

On Thursday morning, four or five National Guard Humvees will travel from Augusta to Paris with vials of fake serum. The National Guardsmen will take on the roles of panicked citizens and military police and practice what they would do, such as using tear gas, in the case of a riot.

“This is just a component of moving the stuff from point A to B,” said Oxford County Emergency Management Agency Director Scott Parker. The plan will be put into place only if needed, he said.

Plans were developed in April to have vials of serum sent from the federal government to Augusta, Parker said. From Augusta, the supplies will be transported to designated distribution centers.

During the April conference, concerns were raised about a possible out-of-control rush on the serum, Parker said. Because of that concern, Gov. John Baldacci and Gen. John Libby, adjutant general of the Maine National Guard, agreed that a plan should be devised to quell such a disturbance.

Local police chiefs have also been involved in the planning, Parker said. In a real event, local police would be in charge of security once the serum arrives in Paris. “We own it. We’re in charge of providing security,” he said.

As of Aug. 5, the Maine Center for Disease Control said there had been 323 confirmed cases of H1N1 in Maine, of which 176 are Maine residents and the rest out-of-staters diagnosed in Maine. A total of 19 people required hospitalization. Sixty percent of the victims were under the age of 25.

On Tuesday, health authorities reported Maine’s first death from the H1N1 virus. Dr. Dora Anne Mills, director of the Maine Center for Disease Control, said a York County man in his 50s was hospitalized for three weeks and died last week of underlying conditions complicated by H1N1.

The drill will take place behind the school and will not affect the day-to-day activities within the school. Access to the school building will be available through the main entrance, Parker said.

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Up to 3 Flu Vaccines May Be Needed This Year

by Admin on August 20, 2009

CDC Issues New Guidelines for Employers

CDC Issues New Guidelines for Employers

Several papers carried the revised guidelines from the CDC yesterday directed towards the private sector. Heres one from the LA Times:

Officials May Recommend 3 Flu Shots PDF Print E-mail
by LA Times
Thursday, 20 August 2009
In a sign of heightened concern that the upcoming flu season could be severe, top national and local health officials warned Wednesday that employers should brace for worker absences and cautioned the public that as many as three shots this season may be needed to protect against the H1N1 strain and seasonal flu.

In Washington, Commerce Secretary Gary Locke urged that common sense take precedence over “the Puritan work ethic.”

He joined two other Cabinet secretaries to tell business owners to prepare for losing key employees to swine flu for days at a time. Federal officials told employers to encourage hand washing and aggressively clean work areas and to send ill workers home at the first hint of flu symptoms, expecting that they will be out for three to five days.

Locke also suggested that employers consider curtailing face-to-face meetings and limiting company travel to prevent swine flu’s spread. Business owners, officials said, should be open to telecommuting and other options that could allow employees to work from home.

“Be responsible and understanding for the absenteeism that needs to occur with this strain of the flu,” said Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano.

In Los Angeles County, health officials asked the public to get not only the regular seasonal flu shot, but also as many as two additional inoculations to protect against the H1N1 strain.

Dr. Jonathan Fielding, the county’s health officer, said at a news conference Wednesday that three shots may be needed because initial studies suggest a single swine-flu inoculation may not be sufficient. Fielding asked doctors and other medical providers to sign up for the H1N1 flu vaccine by registering online at the county Department of Public Health’s website.

Click here for the full story

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Swine Flu outbreak at University of Alabama

by Admin on August 20, 2009

Sorority Rush Triggers Swine Flu Outbreak

Sorority Rush Triggers Swine Flu Outbreak

Fox News and other sources are reporting that 54 students at the University of Alabama have been treated at the student health center in the past few days. All of them are likely to have the Swine Flu (H1N1) virus. Similar outbreaks have been reported in Alabama elementary schools since classes started there last week.

The University is setting up information lines for students and parents, and taking other steps to minimize the spread of the virus. Classes in the Southeast traditionally start earlier than elsewhere in the country, but this may well be an indicator of how a return to classes will signal an uptick in the number of cases, just as public health officials have been predicting.

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EMA PIO Leverages Social Media Resources

EMA PIO Leverages Social Media Resources

A wise man once said, “Geography is not destiny”. If you’re looking for proof of that concept, look no further than the small town of Gadsden, AL, where a small agency PIO is making impressive use of social media for public service.

The full story is this month’s feature article in our “PIO Resources Section“. Required reading.

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Social Media Tools To Fight the Flu

by Admin on August 7, 2009

Flu.gov is making available some great tools that can be easily incorporated into your web site to help keep your audience up to date on the Flu, without a lot of work on your part. These tools are perfect for small agencies, and can really help PIO’s better manage their time.

In most cases using these tools are as simple as “cutting and pasting” some simple HTML code onto your web site. (If that didn’t make sense to you, just point your IT or web guy to the link…it will be ten minutes work to add most of these to your site)

All this information is from official sources at the federal level, so no worries about vetting the information. Your PIO can then concentrate on sending out local information, and rest assured that your audience has the tools to find reliable information regarding the “big picture”.

In Web 2.0-speak these tools are called “Widgets” and you can see several of them below. Perfect for the school web site, company web site, County EMA web sites, etc.



href="http://www.hhs.gov/web/library/index.html#HHSWidgets"
target="_parent">Add This To Your Web Site!


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